ROMA (ITALPRESS) – The departure of the Lincoln aircraft carrier and that of an airplane that coordinates all drones and monitoring systems are “evidently a signal that at least” the United States “ prepares to do something”. It is the opinion of Daniele Ruvinetti, senior advisor of the MedOr Foundation, interviewed by Claudio Brachino for the column of geopolitics Diplomacy Magazine of the Italpress agency.
“The carrier arrived, Lincoln, but not just that,” Ruvinetti explained. “A signal of a possible attack is the departure of an almost unique US military plane, which coordinates practically all drones, all planes, all monitoring systems and which is used when an attack, blitz or military operation is required. The fact that it started from an American base to go to the Middle East is obviously a signal that (the United States) at least prepare to do something,” he added.
According to the expert, Qatar’s diplomacy is present, “which is still trying to mediate with Iran and the United States to avoid an attack.” On the other hand, on the other hand, “there is Trump, to whom his own advisers and military have pointed out that we must understand what is the goal”. If the goal, Ruvinetti explained, “it is to give a signal, then hit military infrastructure, hit the Pasdaran headquarters that are brutally repressing the population, is an account. If instead the goal is to point to the change regime or the fall of the supreme guide, then everything becomes more complex, because a blitz or a single attack may not be enough”.
A regime change process, said MedOr’s senior advisor, is not simple “unless, but this is not known, the Venezuela model is replicated.” This “model” would nevertheless encounter difficulties in applying in Iran, according to the expert, because it would be “to have another Ayatollah who is part of the Ayatollah Council, who is ready to take power instead of the Supreme Guide in case of elimination or disappearance, which changes the approach towards Israel and the United States”. Israel, according to Ruvinetti, is the real pivot around which the Iranian crisis moves with the West. The question of nuclear “is certainly a part” of the problem, but “the real reason is a strong concern on the part of Israel, with which, as we have seen, with the United States of Trump” Netanyahu’s management “is one or almost”.
Iran, the expert recalled, created and armed the so-called “proxies”, groups like Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthi who threaten the very existence of the Jewish state. “I believe that Israel and the United States want to change balances in the Middle East. Somehow the weakening and exit of scene of Ayatollah, at least of this Ayatollah, is also seen well by moderate Arabs, from the Emirates but also by Saudi Arabia itself that has a relationship of ‘love-hate’ with Iran’, said MedOr’s senior advisor. Operation a change at the top of Tehran would also mean “to take an important leap to Russia and China”, added Ruvinetti. “These are Trump’s real goals to me. Of course, we can account for aid to the population, but we also remember oil. We remember that Iran not only has oil, but controls the Strait of Hormuz, which is a fundamental strait for the passage of the gas and oil of the world,” Ruvinetti said.
As for the internal situation of Iran it is “a complex country, where there is a strong religious component. It is quite unique in its kind, there is an Arab component but we remember that they are Persians and therefore there is a mix of different ethnicities and religious derivations. They come from the Shah that did not leave very good memories, but someone now claims it because it was better before than what is evident today. There is (in Iran) an apparatus that for many years has the power, made by the guardians of the revolution, the Pasdaran, who, as we have seen, have put in place a violent repression and still have a very strong grip in the gangs of power”, Ruvinetti noted. The problem will then be to find a new leader for the country. “We need to find a leader who coagulates discontent and opposition, and so far unfortunately has not found himself,” MedOr’s senior advisor concluded.
– Photo Italpress –
(ITALPRESS).
