MILAN (ITALPRESS) – In the US operation against Venezuela and President Nicolas Maduro “there is evidently the plastic manifestation of the American will to determine and delimit the strategic perimeter of its national interests in North America, Greenland, Central America, Panama, South America, Venezuela, but not only. A strategic interest that obviously arises from necessity, for what concerns South America, to control the oil dynamics in Venezuela or the lithium triangle with 60% of the world production between Argentina, Chile and Bolivia”. Italpress, Ambassador Ettore Francesco Sequi, says that an additional international effect can be “a progressive limitation in Chinese and Russian presence in Latin America. But also a message that could be interpreted by Chinese and Russians as an availability to a division in areas of influence.”.
At the level of image, Sequi emphasizes that “we have an operation that is narrated not as military, but as international police because Maduro is defined [from the United States, ndr] a narco-terrorist. So it must be tried in the United States with the punishment that becomes institutional. And this is for Trump to send a signal inside: Delimiting the risk because [the raid, ndr] did not pass from Congress, as it should have done in case of military operation, and tell public opinion ‘I work for national security’. Faced with a meticulous preparation on the front of intelligence and military equipment, American President Donald Trump did not come down in detail about the future Venezuelan leadership.
According to Sequi, the uncertainty of the American administration for the after Maduro [captured and conducted in the United States, ndr] opens to different scenarios and a possible internal fragmentation of the South American country: “The first scenario is a potentially securitary succession, i.e. a regime without Maduro but not democratic. So relative stability with little democracy – he explains – The second is a negotiated transition with a compromise government that is acceptable to Washington. This hypothesis is also possible, but fragile because it requires that there is a balance between the various components and above all economic support. The third most dangerous scenario is fragmentation. This is a scenario that obviously frightens Colombia and the Caribbean and also because of the potential consequences on the nearest countries.” “We need to see what will be the role of the opposition, because it is fragmented. So let’s say there are various possibilities,” concludes Sequi.
– photo Italpress –
(ITALPRESS).
